ML-POWERED PHARMACEUTICAL SUPPLY INTELLIGENCE

EVERY PILL.
EVERY VIAL.
ZERO WASTE.

Forecast watches every unit moving through your pharmaceutical supply chain and tells you exactly what to order, when, and how much safety stock is waste — before it expires.

See Your Inventory Live →

AMOXICILLIN 500MG — ROLLING 90-DAY DEMAND

84,320 units / cycle

ACTUAL
FORECAST
95% CI
100K75K50K25K0K
TODAY

MAPE

3.2%

vs 18.7% naive

TREND

+7.4%

14-day momentum

SIGNAL

SPIKE

Flu season onset

REORDER

6 DAYS

Recommended lead

WAREHOUSE LOT EXPIRY HEATMAP — DISTRIBUTION CENTER 04

5 LOTS AT RISK / 5,240 units

≤14 DAYS
15–30 DAYS
>30 DAYS

AMX-500

L2401A

8d

2,400 u

INS-NPH

L2402B

12d

840 u

LIP-40

L2403C

19d

3,200 u

MET-1G

L2404D

24d

1,800 u

ATO-80

L2405E

31d

920 u

OXY-5

L2406F

6d

560 u

CIP-250

L2407G

38d

4,100 u

PRE-50

L2408H

45d

2,200 u

AML-10

L2409I

52d

1,600 u

OME-20

L2410J

11d

780 u

SIM-40

L2411K

58d

3,400 u

MET-500

L2412L

65d

2,100 u

WAR-5

L2413M

17d

440 u

FUR-40

L2414N

72d

1,900 u

CLO-75

L2415O

21d

2,800 u

GAB-300

L2416P

79d

3,600 u

ESO-40

L2417Q

9d

660 u

PRO-80

L2418R

86d

1,200 u

LEV-750

L2419S

26d

2,000 u

DUL-60

L2420T

92d

4,200 u

DSCSA LOT TRACKING ACTIVE · SERIALIZATION VERIFIED · LAST SYNC 14:32 UTC

AUTO-GENERATED PURCHASE ORDER — PO-2026-02-27-0441

PROJECTED SAVINGS: $22,250this cycle

GENERATED BY LSTM REORDER ENGINE v3.2

2026-02-27 · 14:32:07 UTC

SKU / DESCRIPTIONNDCVENDORQTYUNIT $TOTALSAVINGSFLAG
AMOXICILLIN 500MG CAP00093-4155-01AmerisourceBergen48,000$0.18$8,640$2,100OPTIMIZED
INSULIN NPH VIAL 10ML00169-1833-11Cardinal Health2,400$24.50$58,800$14,200CRITICAL
LISINOPRIL 40MG TAB68382-0040-10McKesson72,000$0.09$6,480$890OPTIMIZED
METFORMIN 1G TAB00093-1048-01AmerisourceBergen96,000$0.06$5,760$1,340OPTIMIZED
ATORVASTATIN 80MG TAB00069-0158-30Cardinal Health36,000$0.22$7,920$2,640SEASONAL
OMEPRAZOLE 20MG CAP00378-6017-93McKesson60,000$0.11$6,600$1,080OPTIMIZED

6 LINE ITEMS · 3 VENDORS · SAFETY STOCK OPTIMIZED · DSCSA COMPLIANT

01

INTEGRATION PROTOCOLS

YOUR STACK, ALREADY CONNECTED.

Forecast connects directly to your existing ERP and WMS via certified APIs — no middleware, no custom ETL scripts. Lot numbers, serialization records, and expiration dates flow in real time. Every integration ships with a DSCSA-compliant data handshake verified against FDA UDI requirements.

INTEGRATIONS

14+

AVG SETUP

11 DAYS

DATA LAG

<500ms

UPTIME SLA

99.97%

SAP S/4HANA

ERP

CERTIFIED

PROTOCOL

REST / RFC

LATENCY

<200ms

ENTITIES

MM60, ME21N, MIRO

Oracle SCM Cloud

ERP

CERTIFIED

PROTOCOL

REST / SOAP

LATENCY

<350ms

ENTITIES

INV, PO, ASN modules

McKesson Connect

DISTRIBUTOR WMS

DSCSA ACTIVE

PROTOCOL

EDI 850/855/856

LATENCY

<500ms

ENTITIES

DSCSA serialization feed

Microsoft Dynamics 365

ERP

CERTIFIED

PROTOCOL

Dataverse API

LATENCY

<280ms

ENTITIES

Inventory, Procurement

Infor CloudSuite

ERP

CERTIFIED

PROTOCOL

REST / IMS

LATENCY

<320ms

ENTITIES

HC Distribution module

Manhattan WMS

WAREHOUSE

CERTIFIED

PROTOCOL

MIF / REST

LATENCY

<180ms

ENTITIES

Lot control, expiry dates

DSCSA COMPLIANCE NOTE: All ERP integrations include automatic serialized transaction data (T3) exchange with trading partners per FDA DSCSA §582. McKesson DSCSA milestone achieved August 27, 2025. Non-compliance penalty exposure: up to $500,000 per violation.

02

FORECAST ACCURACY BENCHMARKS

NUMBERS PRECISE ENOUGH
TO TAKE TO YOUR VP.

MODELMAPE ↓RMSE ↓BIASNOTES

FORECAST LSTM v3.2

3.2%
61.6+0.4%Hierarchical cluster segmentation + seasonal decomp

ARIMA (industry std.)

18.7%
184.2-3.1%Single-step, no external covariates

Naive Baseline (last period)

31.4%
312.8-8.7%No model — prior cycle repeat

Exponential Smoothing

22.1%
221.6-5.2%Holt-Winters, no ML

Linear Regression

27.8%
278.4-6.9%Static weights, no time dependency

MAPE = Mean Absolute Percentage Error. Lower is better. Benchmarked on 18-month hold-out set, 847 SKUs, 12 distribution centers. RMSE weighted average across demand segments per published LSTM methodology.

DEMAND SIGNAL COMPOSITION

ERP TRANSACTION HISTORY

38%

24-month rolling window, lot-level granularity

PHYSICIAN RX TRENDS

22%

Prescription velocity by therapeutic category

EPIDEMIOLOGICAL DATA

18%

CDC ILINet, hospital admission forecasts

SEASONAL COEFFICIENTS

14%

Flu, allergy, infection cycle models

SUPPLY CHAIN EVENTS

8%

Backorder signals, manufacturer alerts

OPERATIONAL IMPACT — VERIFIED OUTCOMES

34%

Reduction in expired inventory

Median across 23 pharmacy chain deployments

$2.1M

Annual waste recovered per 300-bed hospital

Single-use vial + blister pack optimization

40%

Tighter MAPE vs. ARIMA baseline

3.2% vs 18.7% on 847-SKU benchmark

11 days

Median time to first forecast

From signed contract to live predictions

03

REGULATORY COMPLIANCE

YOUR COMPLIANCE BURDEN,
ALREADY HANDLED.

DSCSA §582COMPLIANT

Serialized Transaction Data

DEADLINE

AUG 27, 2025

Electronic T3 (transaction history, transaction information, transaction statement) exchange with all trading partners. GS1 2D Data Matrix on every package.

ManufacturersWholesale DistributorsDispensers
$500K / violation
FDA UDICOMPLIANT

Unique Device Identifier Tracking

DEADLINE

ROLLING

GS1-standard barcode containing NDC, serial number, lot number, and expiration date. Forecast parses and stores UDI data from all inbound shipments automatically.

All pharma + medical device
Product recall risk
DSCSA §582(g)COMPLIANT

Interoperable Electronic System

DEADLINE

NOV 27, 2025

Electronic system must be interoperable with all trading partners. Forecast's API layer is DSCSA-verified with McKesson, AmerisourceBergen, and Cardinal Health.

Dispensers 26+ FTEs
Trading partner suspension
RECORD RETENTIONCOMPLIANT

6-Year Minimum Data Retention

DEADLINE

CONTINUOUS

All lot numbers, serialization records, transaction data, and expiration history retained for minimum 6 years per FDA requirements. Immutable audit log.

All supply chain entities
Audit failure

FDA AI/ML GUIDANCE (2025): In early 2025, FDA issued draft guidance on AI/ML in drug submissions, requiring "agile, risk-based frameworks" for AI-driven inventory decisions. Forecast's model validation framework is designed for regulatory audit. Full model cards and drift detection logs available on request.

04

DEPLOYMENT & ACCESS

LIVE IN 11 WEEKS.
NOT 11 MONTHS.

DEPLOYMENT TIMELINE — WEEKS TO FIRST FORECAST

WK 01–02ERP CONNECTOR SETUP

API keys, data schema mapping, DSCSA handshake verification

WK 03–04HISTORICAL DATA INGEST

24-month transaction history, lot numbers, expiration records

WK 05–07MODEL TRAINING & VALIDATION

LSTM training on your SKU catalog, accuracy benchmarking

WK 08–11SHADOW MODE FORECASTING

Live predictions alongside existing system — no risk

WK 11FIRST LIVE FORECAST

Production reorder recommendations, expiry heatmap active

PROJECTED ANNUAL SAVINGS BY TIER

REGIONAL DISTRIBUTOR

500–2,000 SKUs · 3 DCs, seasonal spike protection, McKesson EDI

$180K–$420K

PHARMACY CHAIN

2,000–8,000 SKUs · 15+ locations, expiry heatmap, ERP sync

$800K–$2.1M

HOSPITAL SYSTEM

8,000–25,000 SKUs · Multi-facility, UDI tracking, 6AM alert suppression

$1.8M–$4.2M

SEE YOUR INVENTORY LIVE

Enter your work email and estimated SKU count. We'll spin up a demo environment pre-loaded with your distributor tier's typical data profile — no meeting scheduler, no phone number, no sales call.

No phone number required

No meeting scheduler

Demo loads in under 60 seconds

DSCSA-compliant data environment

BOTTOM LINE: A 300-bed hospital running Forecast recovers an estimated $2.1M annually in expired inventory and safety stock waste. A regional distributor with 1,200 SKUs typically saves $280K in the first year. These numbers come from 23 live deployments — not projections.